January 5, 2023
2022 Review and 2023 Outlook
Arguably, 2022 was one of the more challenging of the past 25 years. We experienced high inflation that extended throughout the economy and induced monetary policy surprises as central banks tightened in response. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine shocked commodity prices exacerbating inflationary pressures and accelerating monetary policy changes. As the year progressed, tighter policy caused activity in the housing market to slow dramatically and the combination of these factors significantly increased the likelihood of a recession. Relative to when the year began, all of these developments came as surprises.
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